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BPard

Future of College Football (National & Local)

With the rise of CTE in young players, what is the future for college football nationally? For a long time, football has benefited from attracting some of the best athletes in the US. Will that continue or will parents direct their children towards lower risk sports? Baseball is already worried about the longitudinal effects on that sport of the recent precipitous drop in youth participation. Should football be worried too?

Stories like C.T.E. Is Found in an Ex-Giant Who Died at 27 and Antwaan Randle El educating youth on dangers of football make me think we may be seeing the first signs of a weakening national trend. These aren't negotiating ploys like Calvin Johnson's mulling retirement - this is more similar to Troy Aikman, Drew Brees, and Adrian Peterson saying they're reluctant to let their kids play football.

Most parents of young children I know will not let their children play football before high school. It's not clear to me if there will still be sufficient interest at that point. The tipping point in this shift would hit the college level in 15 years. Some conferences would surely survive, but I can see things getting very, very difficult for all Patriot League schools.
NewXbo

Re: Future of College Football (National & Local)

BPard wrote:
With the rise of CTE in young players, what is the future for college football nationally? For a long time, football has benefited from attracting some of the best athletes in the US. Will that continue or will parents direct their children towards lower risk sports?


Baseball is already worried about the longitudinal effects on that sport of the recent precipitous drop in youth participation.


I don't believe you are correct regarding the baseball situation. A study was done a few year ago and it determined that there was a huge drop in black baseball players. They attributed it to black athletes being more interested in football and basketball.
BPard

Re: Future of College Football (National & Local)

NewXbo wrote:
I don't believe you are correct regarding the baseball situation. A study was done a few year ago and it determined that there was a huge drop in black baseball players. They attributed it to black athletes being more interested in football and basketball.
I did not mean baseball has a youth decline due to safety, just that baseball is concerned that young people are not playing baseball as frequently as they have in the past. Sounds like you've read a study that observed this trend in one demographic group.

See WSJ and WaPo. Baseball is worried about lack of youth interest today.

Should football be worried about lack of youth participation tomorrow due to parents not permitting their children to play the game?
artanis

"Should football be worried about lack of youth participation tomorrow due to parents not permitting their children to play the game?"

Hard to imagine, but what about a scenario like what happened in boxing over the years?

As people climb the social ladder and more earning opportunities are made available, certain people stop participating and their places are taken from the bottom by hungry minorities willing to take chances for economic reasons.

Whites and Jews dominated boxing, today blacks and hispanics do. Relatively few whites bother fighting.

Football participation could very well follow suit over a period of time...
BPard

artanis wrote:
Hard to imagine, but what about a scenario like what happened in boxing over the years?

NYTimes op-ed "The N.F.L.ís Next Play: Address Brain Trauma or Fade Away" makes the same comparison.

Quote:
Parents are being made aware of the dangers of football and the potential for long-term disability, so they can (or not) give informed consent for their children. If large numbers of young people stop playing the game, as they stopped boxing, the talent pool will begin to dry up and the N.F.L. will have a smaller reservoir of talent and fans to tap.

That may seem inconceivable for football now, when more than 100 million Americans will watch the Super Bowl on Sunday, but no more so than it once was for boxing.
65Pard

Big time college football is a business that relies on these young men.  The lure of a free "education" and a shot at NFL will not significantly dilute the talent pool IMO.  Recruiters will continue to do their job... Young minds will continue to fall for it.  

Just as intense rivalries existed and stadiums were full before the black athletes, so it will continue with those who want to play football.

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